Predictability and model selection in the context of ARCH models

Most of the methods used in the ARCH literature for selecting the appropriate model are based on evaluating the ability of the models to describe the data. An alternative model selection approach is examined based on the evaluation of the predictability of the models in terms of standardized prediction errors. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Continuous dependence on modelling for a complex Ginzburg–Landau equation with complex coefficients

Continuous dependence on a modelling parameter is established for solutions of a problem for a complex Ginzburg–Landau equation. A homogenizing boundary condition is also used to discuss the continuous dependence results. We derive a priori estimates that indicate that solutions depend continuously on a parameter in the governing differential equation. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

On the spectra of finite-dimensional quadratic Bose operators

A complete study of the spectrum of a finite-dimensional Bose operator is carried out in the paper. The cases in which the spectrum is discrete or continuous are studied. Translated fromMatematicheskie Zametki, Vol. 61, No. 6, pp. 835–854, June, 1997. Translated by A. M. Chebotarev     

Assessing the Error Probability of the Model Selection Test

The asymptotic error probability of Linhart's model selection test isevaluated, and compared with the nominal significance level. We examine thecase where the expected discrepancies of the candidate models from the truemodel are asymptotically equal. The local alternatives method is employed inthe limiting operation of the asymptotic evaluation. Although the errorprobability under the null hypothesis is actually shown to be equal to orless than the level for most situations, intolerable violations of the errorcontrol are observed for nested models: It is often erroneously concludedthat the smaller model is significantly better than the larger model. Toprevent this violation, a modification of Linhart's test statistic isproposed. The effectiveness of the proposed test is confirmed throughtheoretical analysis and numerical simulations.     

连续调查的整群抽样

本文讨论了连续调查中应用普查方法时的整群抽样和分层整群抽样。     

Continuous dependence on the geometry and on the initial time for a class of parabolic problems I

In this paper, we investigate the continuous dependence on the geometry and the initial time for solutions u( x , t) of a class of nonlinear parabolic initial‐boundary value problems. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Estimates for Elements of Inverse Matrices for a Class of Operators with Matrices of Special Structure

In this paper, we consider questions related to the structure of inverse matrices of linear bounded operators acting in infinite-dimensional complex Banach spaces. We obtain specific estimates of elements of inverse matrices for bounded operators whose matrices have a special structure. Matrices are introduced as special operator-valued functions on an index set. The matrix structure is described by the behavior of the given function on elements of a special partition of the index set. The method used for deriving the estimates is based on an analysis of Fourier series of strongly continuous periodic functions.     

Artificial time integration

Many recent algorithmic approaches involve the construction of a differential equation model for computational purposes, typically by introducing an artificial time variable. The actual computational model involves a discretization of the now time-dependent differential system, usually employing forward Euler. The resulting dynamics of such an algorithm is then a discrete dynamics, and it is expected to be “close enough” to the dynamics of the continuous system (which is typically easier to analyze) provided that small – hence many – time steps, or iterations, are taken. Indeed, recent papers in inverse problems and image processing routinely report results requiring thousands of iterations to converge. This makes one wonder if and how the computational modeling process can be improved to better reflect the actual properties sought. In this article we elaborate on several problem instances that illustrate the above observations. Algorithms may often lend themselves to a dual interpretation, in terms of a simply discretized differential equation with artificial time and in terms of a simple optimization algorithm; such a dual interpretation can be advantageous. We show how a broader computational modeling approach may possibly lead to algorithms with improved efficiency. AMS subject classification (2000)  65L05, 65M32, 65N21, 65N22, 65D18     

A note on a result by M. Bognár concerning the Hahn--Mazurkiewicz Theorem

Summary In this note we use Theorem 2.4 in<span lang=EN-US style='font-size:10.0pt;mso-ansi-language:EN-US'>[1]to give a very short proof of a recent result due to M. Bognár (Theorem A in [3]). We also prove that Bognár's result is in fact equivalent to the classical Hahn-Mazurkiewicz Theorem. Finally we give generalizations in the non-compact setting.     

我国封闭式投资基金业绩评价实证研究

随着我国基金行业超常发展,恰当的分析和评价基金业绩已越来越重要。本文根据CAPM的基本原理,利用国外先进的基金业绩评价方法对我国封闭式基金的综合业绩进行实证研究。研究结果表明:总体来看,基金获得的市场超额收益显著为负。基金经理不具有证券选择能力,但具有一定的市场择时能力,但这两种能力均不显著。同时,我们还发现不同投资风格的基金经理具有不同的证券选择能力和市场择时能力。